The current period of calm at petrol stations across the nation will end soon, according to the Institute for Energy Security (IES), since domestic gasoline costs are expected to increase sharply.
Based on indicators from the October first pricing window, IES stated that this foreboding projection is being driven by a global upheaval in the crude oil market that threatens to send shockwaves through the market.
In addition to a 0.59 percent decline in the value of the local currency relative to the U.S. dollar on the forex market, there has been a rise in the price of petrol on the international market by 0.63 percent, diesel by 5.40 percent, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) by 2.43 percent.
The specific price increase for each petroleum product is as follows: petrol, 1 percent per liter; diesel, 3 percent per liter; and LPG, 1.5 percent per kilogram (kg).
According to IES, “Brent Crude price experienced a lull on Thursday after soaring to more than US$97 per barrel on Wednesday as traders began to take profits and the markets’ macro focus shifted to increasing interest rates.
Higher interest rates historically have been detrimental to oil prices since they often result in decreased demand for oil due to declining activity and rising expenses. Interestingly, commodity analysts at Standard Chartered have argued that a hawkish Fed may actually be advantageous this time around because it will probably make OPEC+ producers more cautious for a longer period of time.
Brent Crude traded at an average of US$93.56 per barrel over two weeks of monitoring in the second pricing window for September 2023.
Also, the Global Standard & Poor’s (S&P’s) Platt averages tracked during the second pricing window of September show price increases for all refined products. At the close of the pricing window on 26th September 2023, the price of gasoline, gasoil, and LPG traded at US$975.73 per metric tonne, US$992.95 per metric tonne, and US$587.43 per metric tonne respectively.
The new prices pose a net price increment of 0.63 percent, 5.29 percent, and 2.43 percent for all refined products respectively on the world fuel market.
“IES Economic Desk’s monitoring of the local currency data on the foreign exchange (Forex) market for the period under review indicates: the Ghana Cedi traded at GH¢11.54p from GH¢11.47p at the close of the pricing window depreciating by 0.59 percent against the U.S. dollar,” the report signed by Research Analyst at IES, Adam Yakubu, said.
IES added for liquid fuels, petrol prices remained unchanged among OMCs monitored for the September 2023 second pricing window.
-Source(Oilprice)
